A derivative "meta-market" created a direct incentive to manipulate a Polymarket contract. We reconstructed the attack using 157,000 orderbook snapshots — and found the book defended itself.
Read full reportSource: MarketMeaning tick-level feed via Polymarket CLOB API · Updates every 60s
A weekly intelligence brief on what prediction markets are pricing in — and what they're getting wrong. Plus real-time alerts when something moves.
Free. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
Same meta-market attack on a Fed Chair nomination contract. When manipulation distorts policy-relevant intelligence.
A VIX for real-world events — real-time uncertainty derived from prediction market price dynamics across politics, economics, and geopolitics.
Automated detection of cross-market structures that create manipulation incentives. Alerts when attack economics turn favorable.